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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.71+3.19vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.60+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.00+0.11vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20-1.24vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.51+0.40vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.32-0.84vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.27-0.34vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.78-0.64vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-3.27-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.42University of Notre Dame0.600.3%1st Place
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3.11University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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2.76Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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5.4Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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5.16Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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6.66Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.36Hope College-2.780.0%1st Place
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7.94Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Higgins | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 31.4% | 29.0% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 20.0% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Turner | 25.0% | 23.1% | 22.9% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gustke | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Nina McAlvey | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 22.8% | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 24.6% | 25.6% | 12.9% |
| Jake Overbeck | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 31.1% | 29.0% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 11.6% | 22.4% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.