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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.60+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.00+1.42vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.71+1.47vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20-1.15vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.51+0.71vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.50-0.20vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.32-1.45vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.27-0.93vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.78-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Notre Dame0.600.4%1st Place
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3.42University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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4.47Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.85Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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5.71Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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5.8Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.55Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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7.07Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.74Hope College-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 35.2% | 26.5% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 15.1% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Higgins | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Emma Turner | 23.9% | 23.4% | 22.2% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Gustke | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 9.1% |
| Hannah Hopf | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 7.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 29.2% | 25.7% |
| Jake Overbeck | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.