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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.60+1.39vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.71+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.00+0.25vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20-1.12vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.32+0.38vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.50-0.19vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.51-1.14vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.78-0.24vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.27-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Notre Dame0.600.3%1st Place
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4.6Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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2.88Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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5.38Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.81Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.86Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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7.76Hope College-2.780.0%1st Place
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7.07Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 33.8% | 28.2% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 19.4% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 23.4% | 23.2% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nina McAlvey | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| Hannah Hopf | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 7.0% |
| Robert Gustke | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 15.9% | 7.2% |
| Jake Overbeck | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 19.6% | 52.0% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 28.8% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.