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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.00+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.60+0.38vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.51+2.54vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.71+0.08vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.20-2.19vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.32-0.87vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.78+0.39vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.27-1.35vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-3.27-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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2.38University of Notre Dame0.600.3%1st Place
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5.54Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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4.08Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.81Marquette University0.200.3%1st Place
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5.13Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.39Hope College-2.780.0%1st Place
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6.65Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.92Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ephraim | 19.8% | 19.6% | 23.0% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 32.4% | 28.0% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gustke | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 19.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Higgins | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Emma Turner | 25.6% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 19.3% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Jake Overbeck | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 32.0% | 28.7% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 24.5% | 24.8% | 13.8% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 23.2% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.