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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.20+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.00+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.60-0.71vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.32+1.10vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.51+0.38vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.71-1.81vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.27-0.33vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.78-0.66vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-3.27-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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3.22University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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2.29University of Notre Dame0.600.4%1st Place
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5.1Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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5.38Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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4.19Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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6.67Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.34Hope College-2.780.0%1st Place
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7.93Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Turner | 23.5% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 17.4% | 21.0% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 36.1% | 27.1% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Robert Gustke | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Higgins | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 26.0% | 25.4% | 12.8% |
| Jake Overbeck | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 31.5% | 28.6% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 22.3% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.