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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.60+1.37vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.20+1.08vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.71+1.47vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.51+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.00-1.83vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.50-0.23vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.78+0.81vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.32-2.44vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.27-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Notre Dame0.600.3%1st Place
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3.08Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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4.47Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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5.74Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.17University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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5.77Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.81Hope College-2.780.0%1st Place
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5.56Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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7.03Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 34.0% | 26.5% | 19.8% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 18.5% | 24.5% | 20.9% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Higgins | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Robert Gustke | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 7.6% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 21.9% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Hopf | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 15.3% | 6.7% |
| Jake Overbeck | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 19.3% | 52.6% |
| Nina McAlvey | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 6.5% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 18.0% | 28.2% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.