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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+4.48vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.35vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+4.99vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.36+2.92vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+3.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.31+1.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.18+1.46vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-1.90vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.03+2.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.24+1.71vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.12vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.07-3.87vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.69vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.44-3.39vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.36-4.78vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.48-2.48vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.32-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Cornell University1.9612.0%1st Place
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6.35Tulane University1.7310.5%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University1.186.3%1st Place
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6.92Boston College1.368.6%1st Place
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8.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.925.9%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University1.317.6%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Naval Academy1.185.0%1st Place
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6.1Brown University1.699.7%1st Place
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11.42North Carolina State University-0.032.4%1st Place
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11.71University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6310.3%1st Place
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8.13George Washington University1.076.2%1st Place
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11.31Maine Maritime Academy0.201.9%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College0.443.3%1st Place
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10.22University of Wisconsin0.364.2%1st Place
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13.52Boston University-0.481.6%1st Place
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12.92Fordham University-0.321.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ava Farley | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 10.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.3% |
| Sophie Brett | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 30.7% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.