← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.71+5.59vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.02+7.45vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.40+9.00vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University3.35+3.74vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.88vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.80+4.16vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.73+3.35vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.87+1.74vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.74-2.77vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.50-2.53vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.93-1.32vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.71-1.18vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.81-3.09vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.45-6.79vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.88vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.44vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University2.11-4.09vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan0.79-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.59Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.45University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
12.0College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
-
7.74Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
-
10.16University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
-
10.35Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.74Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
6.23Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.47Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
9.68University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
10.82Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.91Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.21Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
10.56U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
12.91Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
-
16.18University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 10.6% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 12.9% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.