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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.60+1.38vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.20+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.00+0.25vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.32+1.45vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.71-0.66vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.78+1.75vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.51-1.16vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.50-2.18vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.27-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Notre Dame0.600.3%1st Place
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3.1Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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3.25University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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5.45Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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4.34Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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7.75Hope College-2.780.0%1st Place
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5.84Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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5.82Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.08Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 34.4% | 25.3% | 20.1% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 19.3% | 22.9% | 21.3% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 19.6% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Higgins | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Jake Overbeck | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 23.0% | 49.1% |
| Robert Gustke | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 7.4% |
| Hannah Hopf | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 8.1% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 27.2% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.