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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.60+1.28vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.71+2.25vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.20-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.00-1.05vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.32-0.08vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-3.27+1.63vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.51-1.65vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-3.71+0.11vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.50-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Notre Dame0.600.4%1st Place
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4.25Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.79Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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4.92Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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7.63Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
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5.35Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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8.11Western Michigan University-3.710.0%1st Place
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6.72Hope College-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 35.2% | 28.9% | 17.7% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Turner | 24.1% | 24.8% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 21.6% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 5.0% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 14.6% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 16.1% | 35.2% | 32.3% |
| Robert Gustke | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 19.9% | 26.7% | 18.1% | 7.9% | 0.9% |
| Braden Krupiczewicz | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 23.3% | 55.6% |
| Reese Yount | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 14.7% | 31.6% | 25.5% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.