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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.00+2.05vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.71+2.24vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.20-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.60-1.78vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.32-0.06vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.51-0.71vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-3.27+0.66vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.50-1.29vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-3.71-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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4.24Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.8Marquette University0.200.3%1st Place
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2.22University of Notre Dame0.600.4%1st Place
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4.94Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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5.29Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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7.66Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
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6.71Hope College-2.500.0%1st Place
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8.08Western Michigan University-3.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ephraim | 20.1% | 21.0% | 21.3% | 18.2% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Turner | 25.2% | 21.2% | 22.1% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 35.6% | 30.8% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 24.0% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Robert Gustke | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 25.1% | 20.0% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 16.4% | 36.9% | 31.8% |
| Reese Yount | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 30.2% | 24.5% | 11.3% |
| Braden Krupiczewicz | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 25.5% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.