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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.60+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.00+1.34vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.20-0.09vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.51+1.58vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.32+0.24vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.50-0.36vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.50+0.17vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.71-3.64vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-3.71-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Notre Dame0.600.3%1st Place
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3.34University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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2.91Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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5.58Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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5.24Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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5.64Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.17Hope College-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.36Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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8.4Western Michigan University-3.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 34.3% | 26.9% | 18.8% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 15.3% | 21.1% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Turner | 24.0% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gustke | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 14.9% | 2.7% |
| Nina McAlvey | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 10.4% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Hopf | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 23.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% |
| Reese Yount | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 40.5% | 18.3% |
| Ryan Higgins | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Braden Krupiczewicz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 14.4% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.