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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.60+1.36vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.71+2.53vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.20-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.00-0.88vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.50+0.54vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.32-0.65vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.50+0.14vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.51-2.32vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-3.71-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of Notre Dame0.600.3%1st Place
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4.53Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.91Marquette University0.200.2%1st Place
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3.12University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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5.54Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.35Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.14Hope College-2.500.0%1st Place
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5.68Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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8.37Western Michigan University-3.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 34.7% | 27.8% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 6.8% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Emma Turner | 22.5% | 23.4% | 20.6% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 20.8% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hopf | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 20.5% | 13.6% | 3.9% |
| Nina McAlvey | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 21.1% | 10.7% | 1.5% |
| Reese Yount | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 39.7% | 18.2% |
| Robert Gustke | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 3.2% |
| Braden Krupiczewicz | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 14.0% | 72.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.