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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.60+4.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+2.56vs Predicted
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32.31+2.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.37+1.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+0.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.63+1.31vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.20-0.88vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.50-2.68vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.43-5.72vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.94-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.56Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.922.310.1%1st Place
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5.68Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.31Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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5.32Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.28Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.68University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Dochoda | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 13.9% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| John Ped | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% |
| Peter Neal | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 30.9% |
| Perham Black | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% |
| Tucker Weed | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 24.2% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.