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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+3.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+3.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+0.35vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+2.08vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94+1.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.63+1.32vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.37-1.33vs Predicted
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82.31-2.20vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.60-3.89vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.50-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.13Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.35Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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7.32Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.82.310.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.42Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 15.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 23.5% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Perham Black | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 16.4% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 31.9% |
| Peter Neal | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% |
| John Ped | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Tucker Weed | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.