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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+1.29vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.37+2.75vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+2.06vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.60+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.94+0.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.50-1.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.63-0.69vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-4.28vs Predicted
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102.31-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.29Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.75Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.38Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.31Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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4.72Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.832.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 24.5% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Neal | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Perham Black | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| Tucker Weed | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 30.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| John Ped | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.