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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.02vs Predicted
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22.31+3.85vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.37+2.74vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.60+1.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43-1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.94+0.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.50-1.63vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.63-0.71vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-4.30vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.20-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.852.310.1%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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3.24Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.37Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.29Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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4.7Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| John Ped | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% |
| Peter Neal | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 24.2% | 21.8% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 20.8% |
| Tucker Weed | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 29.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Perham Black | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.