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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.00vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+3.11vs Predicted
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32.31+2.93vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+2.03vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43-1.79vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.63+1.31vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.37-1.31vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.50-2.72vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.94-2.36vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.932.310.1%1st Place
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6.03Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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3.21Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
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7.31Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.28Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| John Ped | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Perham Black | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 25.8% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 31.9% |
| Peter Neal | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Tucker Weed | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Schryver | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 18.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.