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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Merson 12.1% 10.4% 12.4% 11.2% 10.6% 10.7% 11.1% 8.8% 7.5% 5.2%
Kyle Dochoda 10.6% 10.7% 11.5% 10.5% 12.2% 12.0% 9.0% 10.4% 7.7% 5.4%
John Ped 6.8% 8.5% 9.9% 7.1% 9.6% 10.4% 12.6% 13.0% 12.3% 9.8%
Perham Black 6.6% 6.4% 9.4% 9.4% 10.0% 10.9% 11.2% 12.1% 12.9% 11.1%
Teddy Nicolosi 25.8% 19.9% 16.1% 14.0% 9.4% 5.8% 4.8% 2.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Santiago Hirschmann 4.6% 4.6% 4.0% 6.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.3% 12.8% 14.8% 31.9%
Peter Neal 6.9% 8.6% 8.7% 12.3% 11.4% 9.7% 11.7% 11.2% 11.6% 7.9%
Tucker Weed 9.1% 12.1% 10.2% 9.3% 11.1% 12.3% 11.7% 8.6% 8.7% 6.9%
Matthew Schryver 6.1% 5.7% 5.7% 6.6% 8.8% 9.6% 11.0% 12.3% 15.6% 18.6%
Dylan Ascencios 11.4% 13.1% 12.1% 12.8% 10.5% 11.8% 9.6% 8.7% 7.1% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.