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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.10vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+5.65vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.59vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.81+5.00vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.50+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+2.17vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.87vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.40+2.74vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73+0.63vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-1.01vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.71-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-3.61vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-6.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.59vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.11-3.11vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.80-6.80vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.79-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.59Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.0Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.25Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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11.74College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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10.63Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.99Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.82Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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12.89Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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16.2University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 6.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 11.6% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.