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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.31+4.79vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+3.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.20+3.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.37+1.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.63+2.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-2.73vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.60-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94-1.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.50-3.67vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.792.310.1%1st Place
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5.12Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.11Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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5.63Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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3.27Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.12Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.33Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.77Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ped | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Perham Black | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| Peter Neal | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 29.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 24.5% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 20.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.