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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+2.23vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.20+4.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+2.17vs Predicted
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42.31+1.80vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.50+0.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.60-0.94vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.37-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94-1.38vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.63-1.67vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
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6.11Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.82.310.1%1st Place
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5.29Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.62Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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7.33Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 26.1% | 22.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Perham Black | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| John Ped | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| Tucker Weed | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Peter Neal | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 18.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 31.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.