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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+2.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.50+3.38vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+2.20vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94+1.61vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.37-0.40vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61-1.95vs Predicted
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82.31-2.23vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.63-1.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
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5.38Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.2Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.03Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.05Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.772.310.1%1st Place
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7.34Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 27.0% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Tucker Weed | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Perham Black | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 17.2% |
| Peter Neal | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| John Ped | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 31.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.