← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Teddy Nicolosi 27.0% 20.4% 15.2% 10.3% 11.0% 6.5% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.9%
Tucker Weed 9.0% 10.2% 10.1% 11.3% 11.4% 10.7% 9.9% 10.8% 9.5% 7.1%
Kyle Dochoda 10.4% 9.7% 10.9% 10.1% 11.3% 13.2% 11.9% 9.3% 8.4% 4.8%
Perham Black 6.0% 7.2% 10.0% 8.6% 10.1% 10.7% 11.1% 12.9% 11.2% 12.2%
Matthew Schryver 5.8% 6.8% 6.0% 7.5% 7.2% 9.3% 9.9% 12.5% 17.8% 17.2%
Peter Neal 9.6% 8.6% 8.8% 9.3% 11.1% 12.0% 10.2% 10.9% 11.3% 8.2%
Samuel Merson 9.2% 10.9% 11.8% 13.2% 12.3% 10.3% 10.5% 10.9% 6.8% 4.1%
John Ped 7.7% 9.1% 9.2% 10.6% 9.7% 10.2% 10.6% 10.3% 11.5% 11.1%
Santiago Hirschmann 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 5.4% 5.7% 8.0% 9.7% 10.8% 15.6% 31.3%
Dylan Ascencios 11.3% 12.8% 12.8% 13.7% 10.2% 9.1% 11.6% 8.8% 6.6% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.