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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+3.13vs Predicted
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32.31+2.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.37+1.66vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.63+2.27vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-2.76vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.20-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94-1.36vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.50-3.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.13Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.842.310.1%1st Place
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5.66Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.27Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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3.24Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.34Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| John Ped | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% |
| Peter Neal | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 29.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 24.8% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Perham Black | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 20.6% |
| Tucker Weed | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.