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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.03vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.20+4.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+0.32vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.60+1.09vs Predicted
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52.31+0.77vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.50-0.74vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.37-1.33vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.63-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.94-2.31vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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3.32Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.09Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.772.310.1%1st Place
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5.26Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.3Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Perham Black | 8.2% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 23.5% | 21.4% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| John Ped | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% |
| Tucker Weed | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| Peter Neal | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 31.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 19.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.