Race 1A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christina Nothacker 5.2% 5.0% 6.0% 6.2% 7.4% 8.0% 6.3% 8.3% 8.4% 7.8% 8.3% 8.4% 7.6% 7.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.4% 2.7% 3.7% 3.8% 3.8% 4.8% 4.2% 5.3% 5.9% 6.3% 8.8% 10.5% 15.3% 22.5%
Christine Klingler 20.5% 19.2% 13.1% 12.1% 9.2% 8.0% 5.9% 4.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Ellie Maus 4.6% 5.5% 6.1% 5.9% 7.4% 6.3% 7.3% 6.9% 7.3% 9.3% 9.2% 8.6% 9.7% 5.9%
Emma Batcher 2.7% 3.3% 4.3% 4.4% 6.1% 4.8% 5.6% 7.5% 6.9% 7.2% 9.2% 10.5% 13.2% 14.3%
Audrey Giblin 13.9% 14.0% 12.8% 11.2% 9.6% 8.2% 7.5% 6.2% 5.5% 4.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4%
Talia Toland 8.6% 7.4% 9.4% 8.9% 7.7% 7.7% 8.1% 8.5% 8.1% 7.6% 6.0% 5.4% 4.4% 2.2%
Carolyn Corbet 4.9% 5.0% 4.8% 4.9% 4.5% 6.1% 6.8% 6.0% 7.3% 8.5% 9.8% 8.1% 10.2% 13.1%
Sarah Burn 7.1% 5.6% 6.8% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 8.4% 9.4% 7.7% 9.3% 7.6% 7.3% 5.6% 3.0%
Rachel Foster 6.2% 5.8% 6.8% 8.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.5% 6.9% 9.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 5.4% 3.6%
Lolly Vasilion 5.7% 5.8% 5.8% 6.2% 6.7% 6.9% 7.7% 9.1% 8.0% 8.9% 7.0% 9.3% 7.0% 5.9%
Dana Haig 8.4% 10.2% 9.4% 9.6% 9.6% 9.1% 8.4% 7.8% 7.6% 6.1% 5.1% 4.0% 2.5% 2.2%
Delaney Bamford 7.0% 7.7% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% 9.1% 8.8% 8.2% 8.0% 8.1% 7.7% 4.7% 5.5% 3.0%
Carina Becker 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 6.5% 5.6% 5.6% 7.2% 8.8% 12.7% 12.7% 16.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.