Race 2A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Audrey Giblin 14.8% 13.1% 14.2% 11.9% 9.2% 9.4% 7.7% 5.8% 4.1% 4.4% 1.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.5%
Sarah Burn 7.0% 8.8% 8.6% 6.8% 7.8% 6.9% 6.9% 8.9% 8.8% 9.8% 6.1% 6.0% 4.6% 3.0%
Emma Batcher 4.3% 3.1% 4.6% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 4.3% 5.7% 7.9% 7.7% 10.0% 10.2% 13.3% 13.3%
Carina Becker 2.6% 3.3% 3.6% 4.3% 3.9% 5.2% 5.1% 6.7% 7.3% 7.1% 8.2% 10.3% 13.8% 18.6%
Carolyn Corbet 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 5.3% 6.0% 6.5% 6.4% 6.4% 6.8% 7.5% 9.2% 10.8% 12.2% 10.4%
Christine Klingler 19.0% 16.6% 14.5% 11.9% 10.3% 8.4% 6.0% 4.5% 4.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Rachel Foster 7.1% 8.3% 8.4% 8.2% 5.8% 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 8.6% 6.0% 6.2% 4.7% 3.0%
Dana Haig 9.5% 11.1% 8.7% 8.9% 9.9% 9.0% 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 7.2% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 1.6%
Lolly Vasilion 5.7% 4.4% 5.5% 6.5% 6.5% 8.5% 7.2% 7.7% 10.1% 8.2% 10.2% 7.6% 6.6% 5.3%
Christina Nothacker 4.8% 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 7.3% 7.1% 8.0% 8.0% 7.2% 8.8% 8.5% 9.4% 9.3% 7.0%
Ellie Maus 4.9% 4.4% 5.4% 6.5% 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 8.4% 8.3% 7.9% 9.6% 8.1% 8.3% 8.1%
Talia Toland 7.1% 7.9% 6.5% 9.0% 9.2% 7.3% 10.1% 7.7% 7.6% 7.2% 7.2% 5.7% 4.5% 3.0%
Delaney Bamford 6.9% 7.6% 8.2% 7.5% 8.5% 7.1% 9.4% 9.3% 8.0% 7.1% 6.4% 6.2% 4.9% 2.9%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.8% 2.2% 2.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.8% 5.5% 4.9% 4.9% 6.5% 9.6% 11.8% 14.2% 23.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.