Race 3A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Audrey Giblin 14.3% 15.6% 13.5% 10.5% 10.5% 8.7% 6.6% 5.5% 4.8% 4.0% 2.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Christine Klingler 21.2% 18.2% 12.7% 14.2% 10.4% 7.3% 5.7% 3.4% 2.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
Sarah Burn 6.5% 6.9% 8.2% 7.1% 7.5% 8.3% 7.4% 7.9% 8.6% 8.4% 7.3% 7.1% 6.4% 2.4%
Emma Batcher 2.9% 3.7% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 6.3% 5.6% 6.1% 7.2% 8.1% 9.9% 10.5% 12.0% 14.2%
Ellie Maus 4.7% 4.1% 6.0% 7.5% 6.6% 6.4% 7.0% 7.5% 7.5% 9.3% 9.0% 8.9% 7.9% 7.6%
Carolyn Corbet 4.2% 4.3% 3.5% 4.7% 5.3% 5.7% 7.2% 7.2% 7.3% 9.0% 10.4% 9.0% 11.6% 10.6%
Christina Nothacker 5.5% 6.3% 5.5% 7.3% 6.5% 6.6% 7.6% 8.4% 8.1% 7.6% 9.7% 7.3% 7.7% 5.9%
Talia Toland 7.9% 7.7% 8.7% 6.8% 9.5% 7.5% 8.0% 8.3% 7.8% 7.1% 7.1% 5.5% 4.8% 3.3%
Lolly Vasilion 5.7% 4.7% 5.9% 5.7% 7.1% 8.1% 7.1% 10.1% 9.1% 8.1% 8.3% 8.5% 7.5% 4.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.5% 2.4% 2.9% 2.0% 2.6% 4.1% 5.2% 4.8% 7.5% 6.5% 6.8% 11.6% 14.1% 27.0%
Dana Haig 9.1% 8.5% 9.8% 9.6% 8.5% 8.8% 9.6% 8.0% 7.3% 6.4% 5.2% 4.4% 3.5% 1.3%
Delaney Bamford 6.7% 5.5% 7.8% 9.1% 8.3% 9.4% 9.1% 9.0% 6.8% 6.9% 6.0% 6.2% 5.0% 4.2%
Carina Becker 3.3% 3.8% 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 7.8% 8.3% 8.5% 11.3% 13.8% 16.5%
Rachel Foster 5.5% 8.3% 7.9% 7.2% 8.2% 7.7% 8.8% 8.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.4% 7.2% 4.6% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.