Race 4A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Audrey Giblin 14.8% 15.1% 13.2% 10.9% 10.2% 8.1% 7.4% 6.0% 4.3% 4.1% 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.6%
Christine Klingler 21.4% 17.2% 15.2% 12.9% 9.7% 8.7% 4.9% 3.0% 2.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3%
Dana Haig 8.7% 9.8% 9.8% 9.2% 10.2% 8.3% 8.9% 7.0% 7.6% 6.9% 6.4% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9%
Carina Becker 2.4% 2.7% 4.3% 4.1% 4.0% 5.3% 6.0% 5.6% 7.2% 6.7% 9.1% 11.3% 13.7% 17.6%
Sarah Burn 5.7% 6.4% 7.0% 8.4% 8.3% 7.6% 8.1% 8.1% 8.4% 8.1% 7.7% 6.5% 5.2% 4.5%
Christina Nothacker 4.8% 4.4% 5.1% 6.4% 5.6% 6.5% 7.4% 9.3% 8.2% 8.4% 8.8% 8.2% 9.8% 7.1%
Talia Toland 8.1% 9.1% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 10.3% 7.8% 7.3% 7.2% 9.0% 5.2% 5.3% 4.1% 2.3%
Delaney Bamford 7.5% 7.1% 9.0% 6.9% 8.2% 7.2% 7.8% 9.5% 8.0% 6.2% 7.4% 6.4% 6.1% 2.7%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.5% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 3.1% 3.8% 4.3% 4.0% 6.8% 7.9% 9.2% 10.5% 16.0% 24.0%
Emma Batcher 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 5.3% 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 8.6% 11.0% 12.5% 13.9%
Ellie Maus 4.6% 5.7% 4.4% 7.8% 5.4% 6.7% 7.9% 8.2% 7.1% 8.7% 9.4% 8.7% 8.1% 7.3%
Lolly Vasilion 5.3% 4.5% 6.0% 6.7% 8.0% 8.3% 8.1% 8.3% 8.6% 7.4% 8.7% 7.3% 6.9% 5.9%
Carolyn Corbet 4.2% 4.4% 4.7% 4.9% 5.4% 4.9% 7.3% 8.6% 8.3% 8.0% 7.2% 11.9% 9.8% 10.4%
Rachel Foster 5.6% 8.2% 7.6% 7.9% 8.0% 8.2% 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 7.9% 8.9% 6.5% 4.5% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.