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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+6.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+1.87vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.32+7.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+3.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+1.98vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06-0.98vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-0.04vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30-0.79vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-0.81vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55-0.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.82vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-4.25vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.70-3.93vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.82-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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3.87Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.28Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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9.07Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Nothacker | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 21.1% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 27.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Talia Toland | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Carina Becker | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| Dana Haig | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.