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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+4.34vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+6.69vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+4.99vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.36+6.22vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+3.00vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.08vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.20+4.33vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-1.73vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.31-1.50vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.44+0.55vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.03+0.52vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.36-5.09vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.69-6.92vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.35-0.91vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-6.61vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-4.22vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.48-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Cornell University1.9612.9%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.924.8%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University1.186.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Wisconsin0.363.8%1st Place
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8.0George Washington University1.076.7%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6310.0%1st Place
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11.33Maine Maritime Academy0.202.4%1st Place
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6.27Tulane University1.7310.2%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University1.316.1%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College0.443.2%1st Place
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11.52North Carolina State University-0.032.7%1st Place
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6.91Boston College1.369.0%1st Place
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6.08Brown University1.6911.8%1st Place
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13.09Fordham University-0.351.6%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy1.185.3%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont0.242.2%1st Place
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13.43Boston University-0.481.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Brett | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Annika Milstien | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 24.8% |
| Ava Farley | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.