← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.38+2.95vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.55+7.42vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.09vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.36+3.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.13+2.86vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.82+2.95vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.40-0.39vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.30-0.78vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.30-1.73vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.06-5.12vs Predicted
-
11Boston College1.70-1.74vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-3.80vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.03-5.00vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.32-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.95Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
9.42Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
-
6.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
7.06University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.86University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
-
8.95Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.61Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.22Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.27Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.88Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
9.26Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
-
8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
8.0Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
10.22Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 21.0% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Carina Becker | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 16.6% |
| Dana Haig | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% |
| Talia Toland | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 14.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.3% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.