Race 1B

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kathryn Hall 10.5% 12.0% 10.4% 9.4% 9.6% 9.1% 8.3% 6.4% 6.8% 5.4% 4.7% 3.1% 3.2% 1.1%
Olivia Belda 17.2% 14.3% 14.0% 12.2% 9.6% 8.2% 8.3% 5.5% 4.1% 2.3% 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Kaila Pfrang 7.2% 8.6% 8.3% 7.0% 7.9% 8.1% 8.1% 9.5% 7.8% 6.7% 7.9% 6.8% 3.5% 2.6%
Rebecca Read 5.9% 8.8% 7.9% 7.3% 8.5% 7.0% 9.4% 9.7% 7.1% 7.3% 7.4% 7.1% 3.8% 2.8%
Megan Grimes 7.6% 7.9% 9.6% 10.3% 9.2% 9.0% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 7.6% 7.0% 4.8% 3.2% 1.8%
Victoria Pajak 4.7% 3.8% 5.0% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 6.6% 6.9% 8.9% 9.2% 7.8% 9.9% 10.6% 10.3%
Emma Snead 8.6% 8.4% 7.0% 9.1% 7.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 7.5% 7.1% 5.1% 4.5% 2.7%
Grace Gear 6.4% 5.9% 6.9% 6.7% 7.4% 6.0% 6.4% 8.8% 8.0% 8.3% 8.6% 6.6% 8.4% 5.6%
Elizabeth Kaplan 12.4% 11.6% 11.1% 12.2% 11.6% 8.2% 7.9% 7.0% 6.2% 5.7% 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4%
Elizabeth Shanahan 3.9% 3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 5.2% 6.8% 5.6% 6.9% 7.3% 7.3% 9.9% 10.9% 12.5% 12.5%
Allison Cahn 5.2% 5.6% 4.9% 5.3% 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 7.3% 7.1% 10.0% 9.6% 7.4% 9.0% 7.6%
Liliana Cunningham 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 4.5% 3.6% 3.6% 5.2% 5.1% 8.0% 10.9% 10.6% 13.9% 24.7%
Annika Fedde 5.3% 4.9% 5.7% 5.7% 4.6% 6.0% 8.0% 7.0% 10.6% 7.9% 7.2% 10.8% 9.2% 7.1%
Aili Moffet 2.6% 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 3.3% 6.1% 4.8% 4.4% 5.1% 6.8% 7.9% 13.1% 16.3% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.