Race 3B

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia Belda 19.1% 15.7% 14.5% 11.3% 9.7% 9.4% 7.6% 4.3% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Kathryn Hall 11.3% 12.3% 11.6% 12.1% 10.4% 9.8% 8.1% 7.3% 6.2% 4.5% 4.2% 1.1% 1.1%
Kaila Pfrang 8.3% 9.1% 10.3% 7.9% 9.2% 8.7% 8.4% 9.9% 8.6% 7.8% 5.2% 4.6% 2.0%
Victoria Pajak 4.3% 6.6% 5.3% 5.7% 7.5% 7.8% 6.8% 7.2% 10.2% 10.0% 9.9% 10.0% 8.7%
Allison Cahn 7.2% 5.3% 7.0% 7.0% 8.0% 8.7% 6.6% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 10.3% 8.4% 5.1%
Grace Gear 7.6% 6.1% 7.5% 8.2% 7.5% 8.0% 10.0% 9.2% 8.7% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 4.0%
Elizabeth Shanahan 5.6% 4.5% 6.2% 5.5% 5.3% 5.1% 8.6% 6.6% 7.7% 12.0% 10.9% 13.2% 8.8%
Annika Fedde 5.7% 7.1% 5.7% 6.3% 6.1% 7.6% 8.6% 9.0% 9.9% 7.8% 11.1% 8.9% 6.2%
Emma Snead 8.5% 7.8% 8.5% 9.5% 9.1% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 8.0% 6.4% 7.5% 5.0% 2.7%
Rebecca Read 9.5% 8.9% 8.4% 9.8% 10.2% 9.0% 8.1% 7.2% 6.9% 8.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.5%
Hailey Pemberton 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 3.5% 4.4% 4.2% 4.4% 4.7% 5.5% 9.9% 9.8% 16.7% 31.1%
Megan Grimes 8.9% 11.6% 9.5% 10.4% 8.7% 8.5% 8.2% 9.5% 8.8% 6.2% 4.8% 2.9% 2.0%
Liliana Cunningham 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 2.8% 3.9% 5.0% 5.4% 6.9% 6.7% 8.2% 10.9% 15.7% 25.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.