Race 4B

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia Belda 18.4% 16.3% 15.1% 10.9% 10.5% 8.2% 7.6% 4.7% 3.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Allison Cahn 5.8% 5.3% 6.8% 7.6% 8.3% 7.1% 8.3% 9.0% 8.4% 9.4% 9.9% 9.0% 5.1%
Kaila Pfrang 7.1% 9.7% 8.9% 10.0% 8.6% 9.4% 8.6% 10.9% 8.0% 6.7% 6.1% 4.2% 1.8%
Victoria Pajak 5.1% 4.5% 5.9% 6.5% 8.1% 6.8% 8.1% 6.8% 9.6% 8.5% 11.9% 9.9% 8.3%
Kathryn Hall 12.6% 14.4% 11.5% 10.2% 9.6% 7.7% 11.0% 7.5% 5.5% 3.1% 3.7% 2.6% 0.6%
Megan Grimes 10.6% 10.1% 10.5% 12.3% 9.5% 9.2% 8.5% 6.7% 7.8% 5.3% 4.7% 3.6% 1.2%
Rebecca Read 9.3% 10.0% 8.9% 7.6% 7.9% 11.3% 8.4% 8.1% 8.3% 7.0% 7.1% 4.3% 1.8%
Emma Snead 8.5% 9.5% 8.9% 7.8% 9.0% 9.6% 8.7% 10.2% 7.1% 7.8% 6.4% 4.7% 1.8%
Annika Fedde 5.8% 5.0% 6.3% 5.5% 6.6% 8.8% 7.4% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 9.9% 7.2%
Elizabeth Shanahan 5.5% 4.8% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 8.0% 8.7% 10.0% 10.3% 11.9% 11.1%
Liliana Cunningham 2.7% 2.8% 3.4% 5.4% 4.6% 5.1% 4.8% 5.8% 8.6% 10.5% 10.7% 15.4% 20.2%
Grace Gear 6.8% 5.7% 7.0% 8.5% 8.1% 6.8% 7.4% 9.0% 8.8% 10.5% 9.4% 7.0% 5.0%
Hailey Pemberton 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 4.6% 4.4% 6.7% 8.5% 9.0% 16.7% 35.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.