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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+4.74vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.89+5.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.33vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+1.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.64+1.67vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+0.25vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.49-2.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.71-1.33vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.50-1.86vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.07-1.79vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.77-1.73vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.89-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.18Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston College1.500.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.27Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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4.22Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Grace Gear | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Emma Snead | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Victoria Pajak | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Kathryn Hall | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 19.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 36.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.