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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+5.26vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.49+3.31vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.71+3.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89-0.89vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.33vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.31-1.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.68vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.07+0.55vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.20-0.91vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.50-2.93vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-4.73vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.64-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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5.31Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.11Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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7.33Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.69Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College1.200.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 18.6% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Emma Snead | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 26.3% |
| Eloise (Ellie) Pieper | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 21.7% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Grace Gear | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.