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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+6.54vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+7.61vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+2.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+3.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.78+3.84vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94+2.59vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.47-0.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.13-0.43vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.52-2.52vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-4.71vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.58-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.23-4.71vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.96-4.59vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.08-2.36vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.41vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.18-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.61Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.32Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.59Brown University1.940.0%1st Place
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6.45Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.8McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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11.64Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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13.96Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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14.91University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Joey Lark | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Coleman | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 5.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 22.3% | 21.8% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 21.7% | 24.3% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.