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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.81+4.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.58vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+4.73vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.52+2.31vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.08+6.26vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94+2.62vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59+2.68vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.13-0.48vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.58+0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-4.71vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.47-4.36vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.78-3.09vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-5.50vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.18+0.88vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.96-6.71vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.05vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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11.26Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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8.62Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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9.68Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.89McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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14.88University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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13.95Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Pemberton | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Joey Lark | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Riley Read | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Edward Coleman | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 43.0% |
| Austen Freda | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 22.0% | 25.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 24.1% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.