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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+2.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.98+2.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.53+2.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.16+4.13vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.36+4.28vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.80+1.71vs Predicted
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7Harvard University-0.20+4.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62+0.56vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.80-0.94vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.94-2.00vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.10-1.19vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.11-1.01vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31+1.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+0.15vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.78-2.06vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.19-4.77vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.60-11.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Brown University2.1418.0%1st Place
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4.14Brown University1.9817.3%1st Place
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5.35Tufts University1.5311.2%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.164.9%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont0.364.0%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University0.806.0%1st Place
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11.36Harvard University-0.202.0%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University0.623.6%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University0.804.7%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University0.945.4%1st Place
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9.81Boston University0.103.3%1st Place
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10.99McGill University-0.112.1%1st Place
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14.27Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.310.7%1st Place
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14.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.200.7%1st Place
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12.94Bentley University-0.781.3%1st Place
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11.23Northeastern University-0.192.6%1st Place
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5.17Boston College1.6012.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 18.0% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 17.3% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Marco Welch | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Grant Schmidt | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 34.1% |
| cole capizzo | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 30.8% |
| Andrew Blagden | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| Grant Smith | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| Ryan McGauley | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.