← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+6.67vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.61vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.52+3.34vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.81+1.38vs Predicted
-
5McGill University1.58+4.58vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.96+2.49vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.47-0.56vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.78+0.80vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.59+0.90vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.94-1.73vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College1.08+0.52vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.80-6.57vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.71vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.23-6.58vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.13-7.33vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut-0.18-1.11vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.34Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
5.38Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.58McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
-
8.49Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
-
6.44Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
-
8.8Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
-
9.9Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.27Brown University1.940.0%1st Place
-
11.52Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.43University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
13.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
-
7.42University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
-
7.67Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
-
14.89University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
-
13.9Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Coleman | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Austen Freda | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Joey Lark | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 5.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 22.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 21.4% | 40.8% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 14.0% | 21.6% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.