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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.52+5.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+5.64vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.23+3.38vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80+0.27vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13+1.79vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.58+2.69vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47-1.65vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.78+0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+3.72vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.08+0.51vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.94-3.64vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.96-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.18+0.92vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-5.34vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.29Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.69McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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11.51Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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8.36Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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14.92University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.66Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.95Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thompson | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Edward Coleman | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 5.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Austen Freda | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 45.1% |
| Joey Lark | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 23.9% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.