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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+6.54vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.52+4.21vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.23+4.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+3.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.94+3.27vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.81-0.49vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+0.70vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.78+0.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.96-0.52vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.59-0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+2.70vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.47-5.49vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.58-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.80-8.54vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-0.23vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.08-4.39vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.27Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.51Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.53Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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9.9McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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14.77University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.61Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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13.93Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Austen Freda | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Joey Lark | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 25.7% | 21.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Edward Coleman | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 42.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 24.3% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.