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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+6.59vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.52+4.28vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+2.39vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.13+3.88vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.78+3.86vs Predicted
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62.22+1.65vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.96+1.42vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.58+1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.23-1.40vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.47-3.55vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.80-5.44vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+1.71vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.18+1.84vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.59-4.06vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-8.18vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.08-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.39Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.86Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.652.220.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.6McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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13.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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14.84University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.94Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.81Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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11.61Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Payton Thompson | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Jed Bell | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Austen Freda | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Edward Coleman | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 24.1% | 20.6% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 21.4% | 43.5% |
| Joey Lark | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 24.6% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.