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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.22+6.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+5.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.72vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+1.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.47+1.45vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.78+3.22vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59+2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80-2.63vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.23-1.43vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.52-3.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.96-2.50vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.58-2.33vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.13-5.14vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.08-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.33vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.01vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.18-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.252.220.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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5.45Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.67McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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11.65Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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13.99Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 13.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Joey Lark | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.4% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Austen Freda | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Edward Coleman | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Riley Read | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 5.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 23.3% | 22.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 24.1% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.