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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.59+8.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.66vs Predicted
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32.22+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+1.43vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.13+2.57vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+0.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.96+1.38vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.52-1.70vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81-3.47vs Predicted
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10McGill University1.58-0.32vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.00vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.23-4.62vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.08-1.39vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.78-4.78vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.34vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.18-1.03vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.412.220.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.53Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.68McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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11.61Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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14.97University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.97Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Lark | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Austen Freda | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Coleman | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 5.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Timothy Burns | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 22.5% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 22.0% | 42.4% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.