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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.53+4.44vs Predicted
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2Harvard University-0.20+9.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.98+1.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.62+4.70vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.36+4.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.80+2.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.60-1.86vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.14-4.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.80-1.13vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.94-2.00vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.11-0.16vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.19-0.80vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.10-3.25vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.16-5.81vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-0.67vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.78-3.04vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Tufts University1.5310.1%1st Place
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11.17Harvard University-0.202.5%1st Place
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4.15Brown University1.9816.0%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University0.623.2%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont0.364.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University0.804.7%1st Place
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5.14Boston College1.6012.0%1st Place
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3.74Brown University2.1420.0%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University0.805.5%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University0.946.2%1st Place
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10.84McGill University-0.112.5%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University-0.192.2%1st Place
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9.75Boston University0.103.1%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University1.165.8%1st Place
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14.33Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.310.8%1st Place
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12.96Bentley University-0.780.8%1st Place
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14.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.200.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Charles Gish | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Marco Welch | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan McGauley | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 20.0% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Grant Smith | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 20.3% | 34.3% |
| Andrew Blagden | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 15.5% |
| cole capizzo | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.