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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.52+5.16vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+7.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+4.81vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.47+2.61vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.08+6.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.23+0.38vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.96+0.20vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81-3.50vs Predicted
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102.22-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.80-5.40vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.58-2.30vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-3.79vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.13-6.12vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-0.23vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-2.15vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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11.37Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.5Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.312.220.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.7McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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9.21Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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14.77University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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13.99Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thompson | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Austen Freda | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 10.2% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Edward Coleman | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Riley Read | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 19.3% | 42.5% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 22.7% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 24.6% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.