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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+4.75vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+2.69vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+2.46vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.58+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.28+1.21vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.72+5.62vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.07+0.09vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+2.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.50-3.16vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.23-0.16vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.72-2.69vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.82-0.87vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.16-2.79vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81+1.17vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.28-8.62vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.37-1.68vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.48-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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4.69Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.58Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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11.62Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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10.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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8.31Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.13McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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15.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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14.32Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Olmsted | 11.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 14.4% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| James Paul | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hal Clews | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 22.9% | 42.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 23.4% | 23.2% |
| Alliana Snead | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 24.7% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.