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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+3.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.72+6.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.58+2.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.50+1.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.07+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.28+0.52vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.82+4.17vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.72+3.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-2.93vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.28-3.73vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.37+3.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.91vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.59-7.41vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16-3.80vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.23-5.08vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-0.86vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.48-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Connecticut College2.820.2%1st Place
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8.17Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.45Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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11.17McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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11.26Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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6.27Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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14.25Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.2Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.55University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hal Clews | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Mott Blair | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 23.9% | 24.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 39.8% |
| Alliana Snead | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 23.5% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.