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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+3.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+3.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.50+2.66vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.23+5.85vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.72+6.30vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.07+1.25vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.58-1.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.28-2.48vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.03vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.28-4.51vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.72-3.79vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-1.75vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48+0.54vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.16-4.93vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-0.84vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.37-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Connecticut College2.820.2%1st Place
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5.36Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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11.3Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.46Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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6.49Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.21Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.25McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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14.54University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.07Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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15.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.35Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 16.0% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Mott Blair | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| David Wood | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Hal Clews | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Alliana Snead | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 22.8% | 28.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 22.8% | 40.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 24.3% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.