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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+3.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+3.19vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.72+8.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64+4.35vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.50+0.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-0.09vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.72+1.04vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16+1.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58-3.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.07-3.15vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.28-4.62vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81+3.09vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-1.88vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.23-4.19vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-4.07vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.37-1.71vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.48-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Connecticut College2.820.2%1st Place
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5.19Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.32Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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8.35Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.44Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University1.720.1%1st Place
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9.76Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.48Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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15.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.12McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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14.29Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 16.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Grant Adam | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| David Wood | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 41.3% |
| Hal Clews | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Joshua Stone | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 18.3% | 24.5% | 22.1% |
| Alliana Snead | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 23.2% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.